Outcome in patients with open abdomen treatment for peritonitis: a multidomain approach outperforms single domain predictions.

Numerous patient-related clinical parameters and treatment-specific variables have been identified as causing or contributing to the severity of peritonitis. We postulated that a combination of clinical and surgical markers and scoring systems would outperform each of these predictors in isolation. To investigate this hypothesis, we developed a multivariable model to examine whether survival outcome can reliably be predicted in peritonitis patients treated with open abdomen. This single-center retrospective analysis used univariable and multivariable logistic regression modeling in combination with repeated random sub-sampling validation to examine the predictive capabilities of domain-specific predictors (i.e., demography, physiology, surgery). We analyzed data of 1,351 consecutive adult patients (55.7% male) who underwent open abdominal surgery in the study period (January 1998 to December 2018). Core variables included demographics, clinical scores, surgical indices and indicators of organ dysfunction, peritonitis index, incision type, fascia closure, wound healing, and fascial dehiscence. Postoperative complications were also added when available. A multidomain peritonitis prediction model (MPPM) was constructed to bridge the mortality predictions from individual domains (demographic, physiological and surgical). The MPPM is based on data of n = 597 patients, features high predictive capabilities (area under the receiver operating curve: 0.87 (0.85 to 0.90, 95% CI)) and is well calibrated. The surgical predictor "skin closure" was found to be the most important predictor of survival in our cohort, closely followed by the two physiological predictors SAPS-II and MPI. Marginal effects plots highlight the effect of individual outcomes on the prediction of survival outcome in patients undergoing staged laparotomies for treatment of peritonitis. Although most single indices exhibited moderate performance, we observed that the predictive performance was markedly increased when an integrative prediction model was applied. Our proposed MPPM integrative prediction model may outperform the predictive power of current models.

Transverse vs. median laparotomy in peritonitis and staged lavage: a single center case series.

Background: Staged lavage was first introduced in the 1970s and now serves as a therapeutic option for septic patients with peritonitis. A central aspect of this treatment concept is leaving the abdomen open after a wide incision. To evaluate the influence of transverse vs. median access to the abdomen in staged lavage, data from the authors' patients were analyzed. Methods: To evaluate patients with peritonitis, prospective intensive care data were examined together with data on the surgical details. The main aspects covered here were the surgical details of the lavage (namely, transverse vs. median laparotomy), number of lavages, fascia closure, wound-healing disorders, and observed lethality, in combination with the preoperatively evaluated SAPS-II score, expected hospital lethality, patient age, and the Mannheim Peritonitis Index. Results: Between January 2008 and December 2018, 522 patients were treated with open abdomen and staged lavage. The mean age of the patients was 66.0 years (standard deviation (SD) 15.9 years). A median incision was used in 140 cases, and transverse laparotomy was performed in 382. The mean SAPS-II score was 46.5 (SD 15.7), expected lethality was 39.6% (SD 26.3%), and observed lethality was 19.9%. On average, two lavages were performed after the index operation. Transverse incision was significantly less likely to cause wound-healing disorder (p=0.03), and fascial dehiscence was observed less frequently in the transverse laparotomies group than in median incisions in the statistical trend (p=0.06). Conclusion: In summary, staged lavage reduced expected lethality in patients with peritonitis. Transverse incision caused wound-healing disorders and fascial dehiscence less often. Therefore, the indication for transverse laparotomy should be generous, as this form of treatment is advantageous in case of peritonitis.